Scientific Center of Innovative Research, Relationship between public administration and business entities management

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USING THE SCENARIO APPROACH IN THE PROCESS OF FORMING PUBLIC POLICY
Viktoria Filippova, Oksana Beryslavska


Abstract


The accounting of civilizational, social and cultural characteristics of social development gives more grounds for planning and implementation of the long-term strategy of development of the Ukrainian public administration, the designing of the future by means of the public policy tools. At the same time, such prospects can be embodied only in the presence of appropriate mechanisms and scenarios. A scenarios features are important for understanding of their essence and their role during the formation and realization of the public policy. It is their description of the future situation and the description of the development itself, which will lead from a present condition to the future situation.

So, the scenario is a model of the future, which describes the possible course of the policy formation with the indication of probability of the realization. The scenario contains the main factors, which should be taken into consideration, and indicates the way these factors can affect the expected events.

The scenario can be designed in three main directions: forecast of the public policy development without any influence on processes in the state (the situation develops itself); forecast of the public policy development by chosen measures (a direct task); synthesis of a complex of measures for achievement of the necessary change of the situation (a opposite task).

The main objective of creation of scenarios of formation of a public policy is providing a sustainable development of new system of public administration. The projects of each earlier scenario create conditions and accumulate resources for implementation of the following scenario.

It is necessary to pay special attention to the fact that Ukraine is now in a situation of the strategic choice caused by the change of its functions in system of the international exchanges and interactions. In this regard in the formation scenarios and the public policy realization in Ukraine there are three spatial zones, which should be considered and in relation to which the state can and should form its policy: zone of direct action, zone of influence and zone of interests.

Zone of direct action is the territory of Ukraine. Within its scope state bodies of state administration conduct relatively stable, organized and purposeful activity towards relatively certain complex of questions, which directly or indirectly affects society (Gavrada, 2006) life. It is also defined as «the direction of actions, regulatory measures, laws, the budgetary priorities of rather certain subject and is carried out by state authority or its representatives» (Kilpatrick, 2000). Within this zone public authorities can and should use all set of administrative, political, administrative and financial instruments, which the national legislation provides, in order to implement the strategy.

Influence zone is the territory within which events and the processes occurring outside of Ukraine, directly influence development and functioning of our state. Thus public authorities and other subjects can influence development of these processes. Within the mentioned zone public authorities can and should use mechanisms of interstate cooperation, mechanisms of coordination of actions between authorities of different level, mechanisms of public communications, and also provided by the legislation of Ukraine mechanisms of formation and realization of a regional and state educational policy in order to form the public policy.

Zone of interests is the territory within which events and the processes occurring outside of Ukraine, make essential, but indirect influence on the development of the system of our state. Considering a modern situation, process of the public policy formation can be carried out from the point of view of the three probable scenarios: pessimistic, inertial and optimistic.

By means of a scenary approach to formation of a public policy in education becomes possible to provide mechanisms of flexible response to external and internal conditions which constantly change, and also to build priority of programs and projects of development of policy taking into account, on the one hand, chosen trajectory of eurointegration, and with another – possible changes in a set, localization and terms of realization of new state strategy. However, despite need of essential expenses of time and resources on application of a scenary approach in the present, results it is possible to expect only in more or less long-term future.

Thus, the public policy of Ukraine should be formed on the basis of synthesis of theoretical and applied approaches, by selection of the various (interdisciplinary) conceptual models calibrated by practical experience of public administration, perspective practices of formation and realization of the purposes. Synthesis of prescriptive and descriptive approaches is a leading analytical prism of the research of the public policy formation process.


Keywords


public administration; authorities; eurointegration

References


1. Gavrada I. (2006) Censorship as a manifestation of undemocratic state policy of Ukraine in the field of mass media. Political Management, № 5, 95-106.

2. Kilpatrick Dean G. (2000) Definitions of Public Policy and Law. https://mainweb-v.musc.edu/vawprevention/policy/definition.shtml